Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.230585 0.270160 0.317018 0.377299 0.453840 0.549245 0.679543
2024-12-22 0.165180 0.210714 0.271425 0.360929 0.494389 0.694840 1.038117
2024-12-29 0.135093 0.183379 0.253774 0.369466 0.567346 0.920631 1.684973
2025-01-05 0.111775 0.158385 0.230763 0.359659 0.605067 1.111619 2.474311
2025-01-12 0.098085 0.144197 0.219854 0.364736 0.670060 1.399907 3.908300
2025-01-19 0.086410 0.130684 0.206516 0.360476 0.713816 1.676793 5.903968
2025-01-26 0.078947 0.122684 0.200789 0.368892 0.790372 2.117779 10.026913
2025-02-02 0.073491 0.117142 0.198240 0.382976 0.889538 2.755155 19.106907
2025-02-09 0.068433 0.111479 0.194238 0.392504 0.982990 3.521587 38.771027
2025-02-16 0.064338 0.106967 0.191627 0.404599 1.093817 4.595586 95.728064
2025-02-23 0.060381 0.102159 0.187496 0.411655 1.194479 5.884552 289.194884
2025-03-02 0.056604 0.097217 0.182219 0.414176 1.282439 7.395482 1288.663722
2025-03-09 0.052843 0.091968 0.175647 0.412002 1.355781 9.163949 18087.309562
2025-03-16 0.049065 0.086299 0.167329 0.402707 1.394694 10.873674 NaN
2025-03-23 0.046966 0.083872 0.166235 0.415575 1.556115 15.378529 NaN
2025-03-30 0.043856 0.078987 0.158511 0.405018 1.588374 18.291723 NaN
2025-04-06 0.041887 0.076353 0.155959 0.411254 1.727333 25.463512 NaN
2025-04-13 0.039596 0.072798 0.150599 0.406346 1.796830 32.467582 NaN
2025-04-20 0.038145 0.070958 0.149390 0.416251 1.982400 49.679379 NaN
2025-04-27 0.037056 0.069816 0.149849 0.432815 2.246823 87.672585 NaN
2025-05-04 0.035834 0.068255 0.148956 0.444038 2.493701 157.857917 NaN
2025-05-11 0.034791 0.067006 0.148754 0.458304 2.802994 339.744432 NaN
2025-05-18 0.033625 0.065367 0.147229 0.466636 3.079337 788.862817 NaN